Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.084388 3.394307 3.729211 4.119225 4.562456 5.052268 5.636935
2025-10-12 2.675030 3.098534 3.587254 4.197570 4.945812 5.841698 7.008377
2025-10-19 2.415426 2.902441 3.491896 4.267316 5.274758 6.559582 8.355680
2025-10-26 2.224864 2.752217 3.415268 4.325260 5.566017 7.235810 9.719564
2025-11-02 2.065274 2.617014 3.333151 4.352013 5.800413 7.844318 11.060000
2025-11-09 1.882361 2.430793 3.160789 4.229793 5.802009 8.109549 11.916542
2025-11-16 1.748948 2.297787 3.045380 4.169857 5.877299 8.478981 12.973964
2025-11-23 1.646137 2.197484 2.964789 4.148326 6.000872 8.927630 14.219049
2025-11-30 1.596837 2.167545 2.979933 4.266987 6.348519 9.769594 16.275433
2025-12-07 1.513170 2.081446 2.905116 4.238564 6.453537 10.215163 17.680745
2025-12-14 1.431798 1.992984 2.819638 4.184298 6.507041 10.572814 18.972073
2025-12-21 1.329280 1.866773 2.668212 4.010938 6.339261 10.510983 19.403704
2025-12-28 1.281997 1.822751 2.642866 4.045755 6.543512 11.171222 21.497509
2026-01-04 1.246499 1.794571 2.640259 4.118060 6.822160 12.011383 24.170998
2026-01-11 1.212694 1.766688 2.635660 4.185507 7.097612 12.882263 27.117494
2026-01-18 1.179225 1.737112 2.625827 4.241953 7.356792 13.755257 30.284013
2026-01-25 1.142463 1.699982 2.600693 4.268041 7.558109 14.532363 33.403039
2026-02-01 1.082099 1.621251 2.500714 4.148791 7.454342 14.617505 34.649391
2026-02-08 1.036776 1.565077 2.436001 4.090304 7.469099 14.974207 36.765000
2026-02-15 1.000889 1.522840 2.392893 4.069292 7.559867 15.521629 39.603280
2026-02-22 0.989447 1.520983 2.419988 4.185083 7.955837 16.869364 45.386461
2026-03-01 0.956176 1.480330 2.375839 4.157349 8.032582 17.429295 48.743881
2026-03-08 0.921135 1.435086 2.321061 4.104396 8.047053 17.830347 51.680105